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BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- BWXT delivered a stronger-than-expected quarter: revenue $682.3M, GAAP EPS $0.82, non-GAAP EPS $0.91, and adjusted EBITDA $129.8M, with double-digit YoY growth across revenue, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA .
- Revenue and EPS beat S&P Global consensus; revenue by ~$36.3M and EPS by ~$0.15, driven by accelerated government materials procurement and solid execution; management reaffirmed full-year guidance *.
- Commercial backlog hit a record $1.3B (up 78% YoY) on Pickering steam generators and SMR activity; government bookings remained robust, and strategic wins (SPR operations JV) and enrichment land purchase support medium-term growth .
- Management flagged quarterly cadence: Q2 likely the lowest EPS quarter as procurement timing normalizes; H2 to deliver slightly over half of FY EPS, aligning with prior view .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Government Operations: 14% revenue growth and 17% adjusted EBITDA growth; segment adjusted EBITDA margin reached ~21.1% on higher naval components and special materials including A.O.T. contribution .
- Commercial momentum: strong bookings resulting in record $1.3B backlog; Pickering steam generator order completion and SMR reactor pressure vessel activity underpin multi-year visibility .
- Strategic positioning: land acquired in Oak Ridge to advance domestic uranium enrichment (DUECE) pilot; sole-source intent by NNSA underscores differentiation, and SPR award expands DOE services footprint .
- Quote: “We had a solid start to 2025… driven by an increased pace of work and good operational performance” – Rex Geveden, CEO .
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What Went Wrong
- Commercial margins compressed: adjusted EBITDA margin ~10.9% on unfavorable mix (lower field services) and specialized raw material inflation (zirconium), with recovery expected via contractual mechanisms in H2 .
- EACs headwind: ~$11M negative EACs split between segments; commercial impacted by zirconium costs; government had smaller mixed items .
- Cadence risk: Q1 EPS outperformance partly timing-related (materials procurement pulled forward); management expects Q2 to be the lowest EPS quarter, creating near-term setup risk if expectations are not recalibrated .
Financial Results
Segment Revenue and EBITDA
Selected KPIs and Backlog
Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q1 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Prepared remarks: “Our vertically integrated nuclear capabilities… enable our customers to put their trust in BWXT to support their most important programs through all economic cycles in the global security, clean energy, and nuclear medicine markets” – Rex Geveden .
- Segment guidance tone: Gov’t Ops mid-single-digit revenue growth with ~20% margin; Commercial ~50% revenue growth but margin at lower end due to H1 raw material costs .
- Strategic scope: “NNSA published its intent to award the domestic uranium enrichment… sole-source contract… For that purpose, we acquired 97 acres of land in Oak Ridge, Tennessee” – Rex Geveden .
- DOE services: “APTIM and BWXT… awarded [SPR] contract… manage and operate… vital part of the nation’s energy infrastructure” – BWXT Technical Services Group .
Q&A Highlights
- EACs: ~$11M negative EACs split ~50/50 between segments; commercial impact from zirconium input cost spike, with recovery in H2 and into 2026 .
- Quarterly cadence: Q1 EPS beat partly timing; Q2 expected lowest; H2 >50% of FY EPS, matching prior cadence .
- Enrichment program: conceptual design → sole-source pilot plant; HALEU pathway to reduce investment vs broad LEU; unobligated U.S. materials required .
- ANPI microreactor program: down-select to 8; OTAs outside FAR; funding/probabilities uncertain; BWXT eligible to negotiate .
- Tariff/macro: USMCA covers radiopharmaceuticals; zirconium price surge managed via customer pass-through and hedging; main exposure is materials imported into Canada .
- AUKUS/SSN-AUKUS: early scope derisks outlook; cost-reimbursable capital projects, ramping toward AUKUS .
Estimates Context
EPS and Revenue vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Note: Company reports “Adjusted EBITDA”; S&P Global “EBITDA Consensus Mean” may differ in definition. For reference, Q1 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $129.8M ; S&P EBITDA consensus was ~$118.6M*, and S&P actual EBITDA recorded ~$101.2M*, reflecting definitional differences.*
Implications for estimates:
- Near-term recalibration likely: Q2 EPS expected to be the lowest due to procurement timing; full-year reaffirmed implies back-half weighting; consensus may need to shift intra-quarter and normalize Q2 .
- Commercial margins: lower-end EBITDA margin (14–15%) now more likely for FY due to H1 material costs; models should reflect H1 compression with H2 recovery .
- Segment trajectories: Gov’t Ops ~20% adjusted EBITDA margin and mid-single-digit revenue growth; Commercial ~50% revenue growth with Kinectrics contribution; backlog provides visibility .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-reaffirm quarter: Strong revenue/EPS beats and unchanged FY guide reduce downside risk; expect Q2 digestion on procurement timing before H2 acceleration .
- Government resilience: ~21.1% segment margin in Q1 and continued prioritization of naval nuclear propulsion underpin stable growth and margin quality .
- Commercial growth inflection: Record backlog on Pickering/SMR; near-term margin headwinds from materials should abate by H2 with contractual cost recovery .
- Strategic catalysts: SPR operations award and enrichment pilot plant positioning expand addressable market and diversify earnings streams .
- Cadence matters: Trade the setup—Q2 softness expected; H2 strength anticipated. Adjust positions around procurement normalization and segment margin recovery .
- Medical optionality: Tech-99 approval window remains 2025 but could slip; actinium-225 progress continues; upside as radiotherapeutics volumes expand .
- Governance update: CFO transition to interim CFO (Mike Fitzgerald) post-quarter; continuity expected given internal appointment and special advisor role .
Additional Data and Context
- Dividend: $0.25 per share declared May 1; payable June 5 to holders of record May 19 .
- Segment margins (Q1 2025): Gov’t Ops adjusted EBITDA margin ~21.1%; Commercial ~10.9% .
- Non-GAAP bridge: Q1 adjustments lifted operating income by ~$11M and EPS by ~$0.09; key items include restructuring, acquisition costs, and acquisition-related amortization .
- Strategic commercial awards: Pickering 48 steam generators (C$1B+ contracts with CanAtom); BWRX-300 reactor pressure vessel work ongoing .
- Kinectrics closed May 20; enhances lifecycle services and medical isotope capabilities within Commercial Operations .